Predictive History Audit / Systematic Content Analysis

Predictive History Audit

Systematic, AI-assisted content analysis of 156 lectures from the Predictive History YouTube channel, presented by Xueqin Jiang. Each lecture is evaluated across seven qualitative axes measuring accuracy, rigor, framing, and bias.

156
Lectures Analyzed
7
Series
2.1
Mean Score (of 5)
788
Predictions Tracked
954
Sources Cited
1562
Rhetoric Instances
Executive Summary 156-lecture corpus
Prediction Accuracy
Of 523 predictions tracked, 247 have been tested against events. 55 confirmed, 79 disconfirmed — a 22% hit rate on tested predictions.
Weakest Axis
Perspective Diversity averages 1.6/5 across the corpus. 49% of lectures score 1/5 on Perspective Diversity — the single most consistent pattern.
Strongest Axis
Historical Accuracy averages 2.6/5 — Jiang's content is not random noise; the factual scaffolding is generally solid even where framing is not.
Core Finding
The corpus reveals a consistent triple standard: China framed favorably, Russia admiringly, and the US/West as declining or corrupt. This pattern holds across all 156 lectures with negligible exception.
Posted Series Ep Title Views Avg Acc Rig Fra Div Nor Det Civ
2026-04-02 Game Theory 18 Trump World Order 1,206,124 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-04-01 Interview Professor Jiang on His Painful Personal Path | Truth and Myth | A Search for Reality | Internet Fame 34,227 1.7 2 1 1 2 2 2 2
2026-04-01 Interview This War Will Not End Quicky | Prof. Jiang Explains 212,325 1.3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
2026-03-31 Game Theory 17 The Great Reset 1,092,609 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2026-03-29 Interview Mehdi Hasan vs. Professor Jiang 149,206 2.4 3 2 2 3 3 2 2
2026-03-26 Game Theory 16 Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload) 657,902 1.7 2 2 1 1 2 2 2
2026-03-26 Interview Sanchez Effect LIVE - March 26 (w/ Jiang Xueqin) 2,508 1.7 2 2 1 1 2 2 2
2026-03-25 Great Books 8 The Poetry of Empire 178,386 2.1 3 2 2 1 2 2 3
2026-03-24 Game Theory 15 The Return of History 741,189 1.7 2 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-03-24 Interview Economics Predicted This War: Prof Jiang's Dire Warning for How This Ends 133,224 2.0 3 2 2 2 2 1 2
2026-03-24 Interview He Predicted The War in Iran Now Prof. Jiang Predicts This Will Become Trump's Vietnam | Redacted 229,697 1.3 2 1 1 1 1 2 1
2026-03-20 Interview Political Prophet Predicts the Next Phase in Iran, Trump's War Plan, & Israel's Plot to Sabotage It 3,237,231 2.0 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
2026-03-19 Game Theory 14 The Law of Proximity 1,149,686 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2026-03-19 Interview Trump Can't End This War — If He Loses Power, He Goes to Prison 651,939 1.6 2 2 2 1 2 1 1
2026-03-17 Game Theory 13 Epstein's World 1,385,374 1.3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
2026-03-16 Interview Jiang Xueqin: Our True Wealth Is Our Consciousness | Endgame #259 694,629 1.3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
2026-03-13 Interview Iran War Trap Ends U.S. Empire, New World Order is Here 491,011 1.3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
2026-03-12 Game Theory 12 The Law of Eschatological Convergence 1,497,981 1.3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
2026-03-12 Interview 'Trump Needs to APOLOGIZE!' Will Iran Claim Victory Over America? | Plus Professor Jiang Interview 1,100,445 1.7 2 1 2 3 2 1 1
2026-03-11 Great Books 6 The Intimacy of Love 263,758 3.0 4 3 3 2 3 3 3
2026-03-11 Interview Jimmy's EXCLUSIVE Interview w/ Professor Xueqin Jiang 478,630 1.1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
2026-03-10 Game Theory 11 The Law of Escalation 1,355,560 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2026-03-09 Interview New World Order - Iran War Ends U.S. Empire 877,389 1.6 3 2 1 1 1 1 2
2026-03-07 Interview Professor Jiang Explains America Loses Iran War 37,658 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-03-06 Interview Professor Jiang on The End Times @PredictiveHistory 205,305 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2026-03-05 Game Theory 10 The Law of Asymmetry 1,501,602 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-03-04 Great Books 5 The Odyssey 337,337 2.9 3 3 2 2 3 3 4
2026-03-03 Game Theory 9 The US-Iran War 4,249,346 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-03-03 Interview Professor Jiang's Eerily Scary Iran War Predictions 160,775 1.3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
2026-02-06 Interview Humanity's patterns, the nature of reality, and the battle for your mind. 160,056 1.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
2026-01-29 Game Theory 8 Communist Specter 410,810 1.6 2 1 1 1 2 2 2
2026-01-28 Great Books 4 The Conscious Universe 233,691 2.4 3 2 3 2 2 2 3
2026-01-27 Game Theory 7 America's Game 654,112 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2026-01-22 Game Theory 6 The World's Bank 931,926 1.3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
2026-01-21 Great Books 3 Poets and Prophets 184,067 1.9 3 1 2 1 2 2 2
2026-01-20 Game Theory 5 The World Game 496,795 1.6 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
2026-01-16 Interview The Derp With Kurp | 23 | @predictivehistory - The Multiverse of Madness 132,408 1.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
2026-01-15 Game Theory 4 The Immigration Trap 532,007 1.6 3 1 1 1 2 1 2
2026-01-14 Great Books 2 Homer and the Invention of the Human 220,045 2.0 2 2 2 1 3 2 2
2026-01-13 Game Theory 3 Rich Dad, Poor Dad 1,455,884 2.6 3 3 2 2 3 2 3
2026-01-13 Interview America's Civil War is Inevitable 132,887 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2026-01-13 Interview World War 3 Starts NOW 163,722 1.7 2 2 2 1 2 1 2
2026-01-08 Game Theory 2 Why Schools Suck 627,023 2.4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
2026-01-07 Great Books 1 Secrets of the Universe 856,177 1.4 1 1 1 1 1 2 3
2026-01-06 Game Theory 1 The Dating Game 1,250,235 2.1 3 2 2 2 3 1 2
2025-12-18 Secret History END Pax Judaica 1,089,924 1.1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025-12-16 Secret History 27 Empire of Evil 366,040 1.0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025-12-11 Secret History 26 Faith of Evil 534,163 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2025-12-09 Secret History 25 Capital of Evil 399,216 1.1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025-12-04 Secret History 24 Empire of Church 253,098 1.9 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
2025-12-02 Secret History 23 The Organization of Evil 714,328 1.4 2 1 1 1 1 2 2
2025-11-27 Secret History 22 The Divine Spark of Jesus 686,718 2.3 3 2 2 1 2 3 3
2025-11-25 Secret History 21 Roman Anti-Civilization 349,274 1.3 2 1 1 1 1 2 1
2025-11-20 Secret History 20 The Hellenistic World 304,322 2.3 3 2 2 2 3 1 3
2025-11-18 Secret History 19 Dawn of the Jews 884,089 1.6 2 2 1 1 2 1 2
2025-11-14 Secret History 18 Thus Spoke Zarathustra 546,716 2.1 2 2 2 1 2 3 3
2025-11-12 Secret History 17 Literary Genesis 352,741 2.6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
2025-11-06 Secret History 16 The Big Bang of Greek Civilization 346,681 2.1 2 2 2 1 2 3 3
2025-11-04 Secret History 15 Capital and the Bronze Age Collapse 303,183 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 1 3
2025-10-31 Secret History 14 Legacy of the Steppes 294,490 2.0 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
2025-10-29 Secret History 13 Mandate of Heaven 399,948 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2025-10-24 Secret History 12 Heaven on Earth 526,717 2.0 2 2 2 1 1 3 3
2025-10-21 Secret History 11 Dawn of the Human Imagination 440,514 1.6 2 1 1 1 1 2 3
2025-10-17 Secret History 10 The Conspiracy of Evil 640,108 1.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
2025-10-15 Secret History 9 The Theory of Everything 870,056 1.3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
2025-10-11 Secret History 8 Death by Bureaucracy 537,980 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2025-09-12 Secret History 7 Death by Meritocracy 804,979 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2025-09-11 Secret History 6 The Psychology of Evil (Graphic and Disturbing, Viewer Discretion Advised) 1,078,249 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2025-09-05 Secret History 5 The Birth of Evil 1,263,555 1.6 2 1 1 1 2 2 2
2025-08-29 Secret History 4 How Evil Triumphs 2,969,056 1.1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
2025-08-29 Secret History 3 Death by Gerontocracy 1,473,870 1.7 3 2 2 1 1 1 2
2025-08-22 Secret History 1 How Power Works (4K Re-Upload with Audio Fixed) 906,876 1.6 2 1 1 1 1 2 3
2025-08-22 Secret History 2 How Societies Collapse 1,283,208 1.7 2 2 2 1 2 1 2
2025-08-08 Geo-Strategy Update 8 Why the West is Doomed 1,198,971 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2025-08-01 Geo-Strategy Update 7 When Eschatologies Converge 246,292 1.7 3 1 1 1 2 2 2
2025-07-18 Geo-Strategy Update 6 Is Putin the Ubermensch? 344,923 1.3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1
2025-07-11 Geo-Strategy Update 5 The Universal Law of Game Theory 315,165 1.6 2 1 2 1 2 1 2
2025-06-28 Geo-Strategy Update 4 Newton's Divine Plan 373,271 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2025-06-25 Geo-Strategy Update 3 The Messianic Calling 436,972 1.6 3 1 1 1 2 1 2
2025-06-22 Geo-Strategy Update 2 WWIII Begins, Let's Game Theory 1,630,909 1.9 3 1 2 1 3 1 2
2025-06-18 Geo-Strategy Update US-Iran War Incoming 788,653 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2
2025-06-13 Interview Meet Professor Jiang 286,495 2.6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
2025-06-12 Civilization END The Decline and Fall of the American Empire 989,687 1.6 2 1 1 1 2 2 2
2025-06-10 Civilization 59 The Man of Steel 224,107 1.9 2 2 1 1 2 3 2
2025-06-05 Civilization 58 Birth of the Nation-State 100,470 3.1 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
2025-06-04 Civilization 57 How Modernism Ruined Everything 201,512 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025-05-29 Civilization 56 What Marx Got Wrong 335,437 2.4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
2025-05-27 Civilization 55 Kant, Hegel, and the Theory of Everything 187,387 2.7 3 2 3 2 3 3 3
2025-05-22 Civilization 54 The German Will to Power 508,325 1.4 2 2 1 1 1 2 1
2025-05-20 Civilization 53 Dostoevsky and the Soul of Russia 264,004 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025-05-15 Civilization 52 Empire of Democracy 85,131 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025-05-14 Civilization 51 Shakespeare's Language of Empire 84,748 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025-05-08 Civilization 50 Rule, Britannia! 107,639 2.6 3 3 2 2 3 2 3
2025-05-06 Civilization 49 The Dutch Golden Age and the Rise of the Middle Class 56,820 2.7 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
2025-04-29 Civilization 48 Napoleon's Empire of Myth 64,580 2.7 3 2 3 2 3 3 3
2025-04-24 Civilization 47 The Passion of Robespierre 82,432 2.1 3 2 2 1 2 2 3
2025-04-22 Civilization 46 The Revolution of Reason 103,607 2.9 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
2025-04-10 Civilization 45 The Gunpowder Revolution 65,962 2.7 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
2025-04-08 Civilization 44 The Spanish Conquest of the New World 75,072 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 2 3
2025-04-01 Civilization 43 The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 62,470 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 3 2
2025-03-27 Civilization 42 The Protestant Reformation and the Birth of Capitalism 183,779 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2025-03-25 Civilization 41 Dante's Quiet Revolution 107,223 2.6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
2025-03-20 Civilization 40 Church and Empire 84,606 2.6 3 3 2 2 3 3 2
2025-03-18 Civilization 39 Genghis Khan, World Shatterer 160,458 2.7 3 3 3 2 3 3 2
2025-03-13 Civilization 38 Twilight of the Middle Kingdom 90,234 2.0 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
2025-03-11 Civilization 37 The Golden Age of Islam 620,435 2.6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
2025-03-06 Civilization 36 Memory of the Norse 62,373 3.1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
2025-03-04 Civilization 35 The Viking Legacy 306,729 2.4 3 3 2 2 2 3 2
2025-02-27 Civilization 34 The Useful Fiction of the Holy Roman Empire 145,218 2.7 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
2025-02-25 Civilization 33 The Rise and Fall of the Byzantine Empire 126,668 2.3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2
2025-02-20 Civilization 32 Rome's Rise, Fall, and Legacy 193,792 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2025-02-18 Civilization 31 The Oceanic Currents of History 85,062 2.1 3 2 2 2 3 1 2
2025-01-14 Civilization 30 Dante as the Second Coming of Homer 75,860 2.9 3 3 3 2 3 2 4
2025-01-07 Civilization 29 Dante's Divine Comedy and the Liberation of the Human Imagination 148,630 2.4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
2025-01-02 Civilization 28 Muhammad's Revolution of God 338,328 2.3 2 2 2 2 3 2 3
2024-12-31 Civilization 27 Augustine's Empire of God 58,584 2.0 2 2 2 1 2 2 3
2024-12-28 Civilization 26 Constantine's Monotheistic Revolution 88,941 1.7 2 2 2 1 1 2 2
2024-12-19 Civilization 25 Paul of Tarsus, Messiah of Rome 242,293 2.6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
2024-12-17 Civilization 24 Resurrecting the Gnostic Jesus 377,960 2.6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
2024-12-12 Civilization 23 Cyrus the Great as Messiah 107,148 2.9 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
2024-12-10 Civilization 22 The Literary Genesis of the Yahwist 151,535 3.1 3 3 3 2 4 3 4
2024-12-05 Civilization 21 The Apology of King David of Israel 197,252 2.9 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
2024-12-03 Civilization 20 The Proto-Buddhists of the Indus Valley (Harappan) Civilization 103,107 2.6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
2024-11-28 Civilization 19 Gilgamesh and Mesopotamia's Quest for Immortality 91,727 2.9 3 3 3 2 4 2 3
2024-11-26 Civilization 18 The Great Pyramid as Ancient Egypt's Manhattan Project 209,962 2.4 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
2024-11-21 Civilization 17 Homer, Vergil, and the War for the Soul of Rome 61,963 2.6 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
2024-11-19 Civilization 16 Julius Caesar's Will and Octavian's Birth of Empire 60,216 3.0 3 3 3 2 3 3 4
2024-11-12 Civilization 15 The Myth-Making Genius of Julius Caesar 86,204 3.0 3 3 3 2 3 3 4
2024-11-07 Civilization 14 Hannibal Barca, Lucius Brutus, and the Triumph of Rome 79,601 2.7 3 3 3 2 3 2 3
2024-11-05 Civilization 13 Aristotle and the Greek Legacy 105,923 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 3 2
2024-10-29 Civilization 12 The Tyranny of Alexander the Great 134,938 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2024-10-24 Civilization 11 The Greatness of Philip II of Macedon 83,609 2.6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
2024-10-22 Civilization 10 The Trial of Socrates and Plato's Allegory of the Cave 191,932 2.6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
2024-10-17 Civilization 9 Aeschylus, Sophocles, and Euripides as Prophets of Democracy 93,000 3.0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
2024-10-15 Civilization 8 Rat Utopia and the Peloponnesian War 131,643 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 2 3
2024-10-10 Civilization 7 Homer's Iliad and the Birth of Greek Civilization 141,238 1.6 2 2 2 1 1 2 1
2024-10-08 Civilization 6 Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse 177,869 2.3 3 2 2 2 3 1 3
2024-09-12 Civilization 5 The Yamnaya Conquest of Europe 115,688 1.9 3 2 2 1 2 1 2
2024-09-10 Civilization 4 The Paradise Lost of Marija Gimbutas 151,455 2.0 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
2024-09-05 Civilization 3 The Religious Imagination 169,610 2.6 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
2024-09-03 Civilization 2 Religion and the Dawn of Society 235,459 3.0 3 3 3 2 3 3 4
2024-08-29 Civilization 1 Explaining Humanity's Transition to Agriculture 472,147 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 2 3
2024-06-13 Geo-Strategy END Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future) 513,052 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2024-06-07 Geo-Strategy 11 The Second American Civil War 767,920 1.6 2 2 1 1 2 1 2
2024-06-05 Geo-Strategy 10 Putin's Strategic Imagination 473,578 1.4 2 1 1 1 2 1 2
2024-05-31 Geo-Strategy 9 Putin's War for the Soul of Russia 619,952 2.1 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
2024-05-29 Geo-Strategy 8 The Iran Trap 4,340,241 2.1 3 2 2 1 2 2 3
2024-05-24 Geo-Strategy 7 Who Killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi? 160,022 2.9 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
2024-05-22 Geo-Strategy 6 America's Imperial Hubris 189,529 2.0 3 2 2 1 2 2 2
2024-05-17 Geo-Strategy 5 Why Trump Will Win (And Pick Nikki Haley as VP) 163,860 3.1 3 3 3 2 3 4 4
2024-05-15 Geo-Strategy 4 Saudi Arabia's Trump Card Against Iran 235,865 2.4 3 2 2 2 3 2 3
2024-05-10 Geo-Strategy 3 How Empire is Destroying America 748,526 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
2024-05-08 Geo-Strategy 2 Christian Zionism and the Middle East Conflict 445,034 1.9 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
2024-04-24 Geo-Strategy 1 Iran's Strategy Matrix 864,329 2.6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
2014-06-19 Interview China's Super Schools? - Jiang Xueqin. OTL14014 239,021 3.3 4 3 3 3 3 4 3
2012-03-16 Interview Xueqin Jiang & Edwin Rutsch: How to Build a Culture of Empathy in China Education System 17,989 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2